Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-95.94.7.90-20161102223421/@comment-26397825-20161203150411

Even if the VA changes nothing, the fact that Oscar is on a farm that is not crawling with bandits is pretty indicative that he's not with Raven, and it was heavily implied that the Spring Maiden is with Raven's bandit tribe. It's not a 100% statement, as it was only Qrow's assumption that we have to go off, but the chances of the Spring Maiden bing with Raven are higher than the chances of Oscar being the Spring Maiden.