Board Thread:Speculation House/@comment-10390252-20141218201832/@comment-6863431-20150102070108

So, to summarize with the Pyrrha->Jaune->Weiss->Neptune love square:

- It's partially Pyrrha's fault Jaune doesn't notice her because she tries to keep things to herself rather than be honest with him (aka encouraging him to chase after Weiss in Burning the Candle, waiting until he turns his back before revealing body-language, not being obvious enough for him, etc.)

- It's partially Jaune's fault he doesn't see Pyrrha because he is so focused on Weiss he doesn't even notice Pyrrha's meager attempts. However, that single-minded dedication also gets on Weiss's nerves, and along with Jaune not being straight with her gives Weiss the wrong conclusion about his motives. Still, Jaune is willing to set aside his own crush in order to make Weiss happy by talking to Neptune and encouraging him to talk to her.

- Weiss is entirely at fault. She looks at Neptune in both the "cool-guy crush" and the "strategically advantageous" way. She sees a relationship with him as beneficial to her status at the school, so she jumps on the chance. However, she projects that same thought process onto Jaune as he chases after her. She assumes Jaune is only interested in her because of her name, and because of that (and likely in addition to the fact that she benefits nothing from dating the kid) she refuses to hear him out.

- Neptune is... Neptune. He's cool, he knows it, and he's willing to use it. Sees a pretty girl, goes after her. The moment something comes up that puts him out of his comfort zone, he drops out. It takes someone like Jaune -- who is a bit less superficial -- giving him a good telling-to to set him back on track. And then, there is a bit of redemption when he tries to make it up with Weiss.

Also, like to point out something interesting. Pyrrha is only focused on working with Jaune, Weiss has to deal with both him and Neptune, Neptune is really only focused on himself (he hits on literally every girl that he spent more than three seconds with), and Jaune was dealing with all three at once (though, with Pyrrha it was more on a friendly level, but the concept still applies).

I think this is enough evidence to point out that Jaune isn't stupid (agreeing with what a few of you said), but he's just not paying as much attention to the subtler stuff. He's dealing with too much at once to pay much attention to any one of them without neglecting the others. He's working on his friendship with Pyrrha, his crush on Weiss, and keeping an eye on Neptune. Along with whatever else he has to do as an aspiring Huntsman and Team Leader, the dude's booked. I'm actually surprised he kept up as well as he did, I know I couldn't if I were in his shoes.